(upbeat music) Let's discuss the fundamentals of sales forecasting by starting with some basic definitions. You'll learn what forecasting is, the importance of understanding the market that you're forecasting in, and the impact that this process has on sales. You'll also learn how sales forecasting can help your organization stay ahead of your competitors. In many places, the demand for candy is highest during October through December. Candy businesses typically plan their estimated sales for the year, knowing that there will be a seasonal increase around certain holidays like Halloween and Christmas. How can they estimate exactly how much candy to produce without having a surplus or deficit of inventory? Most manufacturers utilize forecasting to make an educated guess about how much they'll sell, basing their approximation on historical sales data. Forecasting is the process of using historical data to predict estimates of future sales and revenue. It's used to plan a budget, prioritize needs and allocate funds for expenses. Forecasting is based on the projected demand or willingness of consumers to purchase the goods or services being offered during a specific time. An accurate sales forecast enables a company to make better decisions by incorporating market knowledge, competitive insights and numerical facts into a corporate strategy. This process focuses on analyzing trends, requiring multiple points of data within a time period, as opposed to a singular insight of how goods or services are selling. This prevents significant spikes or declines in sales from drastically changing how a company plans their resources. Trends look at averages, constance and movement that provides a general indication of how a product is behaving according to consumers. To develop a good forecast, it's imperative that you understand the market you're in. In sales, the concept of a market includes potential clients, existing customers and competitors. Markets determine the price of goods and services sold within them based on the supply and demand of sellers and buyers. Forecasting helps map out projected sales based on the variables that influence how and when customers are willing to make a purchase. By using past knowledge about customers and the market, your organization can make estimates about your chances of success.